Kevin Drum 🕸

Donald Trump says he won't be able to post the $454 million bond required by his loss a few weeks ago in a New York business fraud case: In a filing to a New York appeals court, Trump said that the judgment, ordered by a state judge last month, was so large that suretors wouldn’t ...continue reading "Trump can’t post bond in his $454 million fraud case"

Last year a Trump judge in Louisiana issued a deranged ruling that said the Biden administration "seems to have assumed a role similar to an Orwellian 'Ministry of Truth'"—and therefore prohibited all communication with social media from a slew of federal agencies. On appeal, even the 5th Circuit couldn't stomach most of it, but they ...continue reading "Supreme Court ready to toss out loony Louisiana “coercion” case"

I've long argued that eventually AI will get better than human beings at everything, which in turn means we'll all be out of jobs.¹ During the Industrial Revolution this didn't happen because while machines took over a lot of jobs, they also created a lot of new jobs for humans (like designing and maintaining machines). ...continue reading "Here’s an interesting argument that AI won’t take all our jobs"

What's the right way of covering the endless stream of ugly and apocalyptic language that Donald Trump uses to inspire his MAGA followers? Here's an example from yesterday: many news outlets reported that Trump had threatened a "bloodbath" if he's not elected. But if you listen to his remarks, he's talking about a bloodbath in ...continue reading "We should be honest about Donald Trump’s “bloodbath”"

Here's yet another reason not to panic over TikTok: For the first time in TikTok’s history, its user growth is stagnating, according to people familiar with the matter.... U.S. average monthly users ages 18 to 24 declined by nearly 9% from 2022 to 2023, according to the mobile analytics firm Data.ai. Some users in their ...continue reading "TikTok is losing popularity among teens"

There's a reason that I've been willing to defend Joe Biden almost immediately against the various mopery and dopery he's been accused of over the years. It's because he's been in the public eye for half a century and we all have a pretty good idea of who he is. When Tara Reade accused him ...continue reading "Joe Biden is a decent human being"

Bob Somerby quoted Sen. Katie Britt today saying that human trafficking across the Mexican border has grown from $500 million in 2018 to $13 billion today—meaning 2021. Is this really true? Nope. It's a widely cited statistic, but as near as I can tell every single repetition can be sourced back to a New York ...continue reading "Human trafficking has barely changed at all since 2018"

The first test of delivering food aid to Gaza via the sea is a success: We did it! Teams of @WCKitchen and @openarms_fund working hard to offload all 200 tons…12 trucks! This was a test! To learn…we could bring thousands of tons a week..with what we learn we will get better…working with the local communities ...continue reading "Food aid to Gaza is starting to pick up"

In polls, about half of Americans think Joe Biden's age would affect his ability to do the job. As usual, though, it's instructive to see how this breaks down: It's not "Americans" who think Biden is too old. It's Trump supporters.

A Boeing 737 lost a fairing in flight today between San Francisco and Medford, Oregon. Joe Weisenthal has questions: So like… is there really just a scad of unusual Boeing malfunctions this year or is this like when the media goes through a phase where it starts reporting on every shark attack? Genuine q https://t.co/hXNx1MyYPV ...continue reading "Are Boeing planes getting worse?"

Donald Trump offers up a thoughtful critique of Chinese control over social media: If you are going to do it to TikTok, do it to Facebook. And what you can do is let them sell TikTok. Let them sell it in the market.... Take it away from China control. But I think China controls Facebook, ...continue reading "Donald Trump wants China to sell Facebook"

It's sort of remarkable how many of Donald Trump's former aides now oppose his reelection. Here's a list. These are only principal officers, not the dozens of deputies and assistants who have also turned on him, and all of them were initially appointed by Trump himself: 1. Vice President Mike Pence 2, 3. Chiefs of ...continue reading "People who have worked for Trump don’t like him much"

Here is Hilbert, tail in the air, exploring the front yard garden. In a minute or so he will flop on ground and roll around in the warm, sunshiny dirt. At the bottom is some bonus catblogging. This picture was sent to me by a regular reader and has some advice for the royal family: ...continue reading "Friday Cat Blogging – 15 March 2024"

The New York Times reports that although anti-TikTok fever is high in the United States, China is taking a low-key approach to things: The fervor has not yet triggered a high-alert response from China’s leaders or prompted retaliatory threats against American companies. Instead, officials in Beijing have blasted the bill but largely reiterated common criticisms ...continue reading "We should ban TikTok as pure trade retaliation"

New tracking polls have started coming out and they pretty consistently show that Joe Biden didn't get a bounce from his State of the Union address. But even if that's true, I think it misses the real impact of the speech. State of the Union addresses never have much effect on a president's approval ratings. ...continue reading "Biden’s SOTU flipped the media narrative"

The judge in the Fani Willis case ruled today that Team Trump failed to prove a conflict of interest because of her romantic relationship with prosecutor Nathan Wade: But the judge also found a “significant appearance of impropriety that infects the current structure of the prosecution team” and said either Willis and her office must ...continue reading "Fani Willis allowed to stay on Trump election case"

The United States Congress is mysterious as hell: Speaker Mike Johnson told Politico that he expects to pass a future Ukraine assistance bill with Democratic votes, an acknowledgment of the persistent resistance to any new aid within the GOP.... “I think it is a stand-alone, and I suspect it will need to be on suspension,” ...continue reading "Mike Johnson says he’ll allow vote on Ukraine"

Matt Darling writes today that although the unemployment rate is low, the length of unemployment spells has gone up. This is probably true over the very long term, but it doesn't really seem to be true over the past couple of decades: I didn't put in trend lines since it would have made the chart ...continue reading "Long-term unemployment has been pretty steady recently"

This is the surprisingly colorful view from Mesa Verde National Park, looking west toward the Ute Mountain Reservation. I don't know what the purple and green and yellow vegetation is, but it's pretty striking.

A group in California is hoping to make financial literacy a requirement in high school: The plan is to make all high school students, as a condition of graduation, take at least a one-semester class in financial literacy.... Petition organizers said Tuesday that they are submitting nearly 900,000 signatures to county registrars across the state ...continue reading "Do we really need a financial literacy requirement in high school?"