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Kevin Drum 🕸

BREAKING: Stunning Republican budget plan revealed!

1 year 10 months ago
CNN has infiltrated deep into the bowels of the Republican Party to return this stunning scoop about their priorities for the coming year: A slide shown in GOP Conference meeting showed the budget and spending priorities for the 118th Congress, including tying the debt ceiling to spending cuts pic.twitter.com/9h1EVQT9ku — Annie Grayer (@AnnieGrayerCNN) January 10, ...continue reading "BREAKING: Stunning Republican budget plan revealed!"
Kevin Drum

What do the words “labor” and “field” have in common? Nope, try again . . .

1 year 10 months ago
From National Review's Jim Geraghty: Apparently, the leadership of the University of Southern California’s Suzanne Dworak-Peck School of Social Work decided to “remove the term ‘field’ from our curriculum and practice and replace it with ‘practicum,’” declaring, “this change supports anti-racist social work practice by replacing language that would be considered anti-Black or anti-immigrant in ...continue reading "What do the words “labor” and “field” have in common? Nope, try again . . ."
Kevin Drum

Lunchtime Photo

1 year 10 months ago
This is a nice, shaggy horse in Modjeska Canyon lit by the late afternoon sun. I have no idea what kind of horse this is, or if there's anything special about it. But it's a pretty critter.
Kevin Drum

We are all waiting restlessly for artificial intelligence

1 year 10 months ago
A new paper in Nature claims that "disruptive" discoveries in science have been on a downward trend over the past few decades. The authors use a measure of disruptiveness that basically measures whether anyone cares about previous work once the disruptive paper has been published: The intuition is that if a paper or patent is ...continue reading "We are all waiting restlessly for artificial intelligence"
Kevin Drum

Joe Biden did not obstruct the return of classified documents

1 year 10 months ago
Marc Thiessen today: If Trump’s classified document mishandling was ‘irresponsible,’ so is Biden’s Nice try, Marc, but no one has ever cared very much if a few classified documents were accidentally taken from the White House when a president (or vice president) moved. Sure, we'd all prefer they be more careful, but it's not that ...continue reading "Joe Biden did not obstruct the return of classified documents"
Kevin Drum

We are still a few months away from the Fed having any effect on inflation

1 year 10 months ago
I suppose it's pointless to keep repeating this since no one ever listens, but can we please stop this nonsense? The Fed May Finally Be Winning the War on Inflation. But at What Cost? [Neel] Kashkari insists...taming inflation must be the priority. “The sooner we take the medicine,” he says, “the less painful it will ...continue reading "We are still a few months away from the Fed having any effect on inflation"
Kevin Drum

Putin fires another general

1 year 10 months ago
The Russian army in Ukraine is changing command again. They are now on their third leader: February, 2022: Army General Aleksandr Dvornikov, the "Butcher of Syria," leads the Russian invasion of Ukraine. October 2022: General of the Army Sergey Surovikin, aka "General Armageddon," replaces Dvornikov. January 2023: General of the Army Valery Gerasimov, also Chief ...continue reading "Putin fires another general"
Kevin Drum

Do family leave acts kill progress on the gender wage gap?

1 year 10 months ago
Tyler Cowen points me today to a new study that investigates whether the gender wage gap is affected by family leave laws. The basic strategy is to look at the gender gap by state and compare wages before and after family leave acts were passed. That's a sensible approach. Long story short, the authors conclude ...continue reading "Do family leave acts kill progress on the gender wage gap?"
Kevin Drum

American conservatives are the least silenced people on the planet

1 year 10 months ago
Jesus Christ: I'm not sure there's been a less silenced group in all of history than modern conservatives. They have their own TV network. They have the entire AM radio dial. They have social media networks for their own private use. They have churches, CEOs, and think tanks at their beck and call. They own ...continue reading "American conservatives are the least silenced people on the planet"
Kevin Drum

Lunchtime Photo

1 year 10 months ago
This is a gorgeous great blue heron that I photographed during my vacation in Virginia. But this was the one that got away. As I approached it for the first time, it flew away before I could get my camera ready—and it was absolutely magnificent in flight. The best I've ever seen. So I moved ...continue reading "Lunchtime Photo"
Kevin Drum

Katie Porter is running for the Senate

1 year 10 months ago
Hey, lookie here: California needs a warrior in the Senate—to stand up to special interests, fight the dangerous imbalance in our economy, and hold so-called leaders like Mitch McConnell accountable for rigging our democracy. Today, I'm proud to announce my candidacy for the U.S. Senate in 2024. pic.twitter.com/X1CSE8T12B — Katie Porter (@katieporteroc) January 10, 2023 ...continue reading "Katie Porter is running for the Senate"
Kevin Drum

My crystal ball says . . . 1% inflation by the end of the year

1 year 10 months ago
Just for the lulz, here are inflation expectations over the next 30 years as estimated by the Cleveland Fed: Everything is fine. There is absolutely nothing worrisome in any of this. FWIW, I think near-term inflation will be lower than this. Rates are already pretty low right now and are going to get lower as ...continue reading "My crystal ball says . . . 1% inflation by the end of the year"
Kevin Drum

“Nothingburger” wins landslide approval

1 year 10 months ago
There's no point in keeping this survey open any longer, and I'm afraid it's bad news for my letter writer this morning: "nothingburger" turns out to be a huge fan favorite, corralling more than 80% of the vote. That's almost as good as Putin.
Kevin Drum