Kevin Drum 🕸

According to WeCount—not to be confused with WeCount! or We Count or Wecount—abortions declined in the five months following the Dobbs decision but then started rising. The abortion rate today is higher than it was before Dobbs: The reason for this is obvious: abortions went down in states that banned them but went up in ...continue reading "Raw data: The number of abortions in the US"

Republicans first chose their majority leader to be Speaker of the House. Then they kicked him out and chose the new majority leader. Then they chose the founder of the House Freedom Caucus. Now they've chosen Tom Emmer, the majority whip. They're just going down the leadership list. In case you're wondering, next up is ...continue reading "Whose turn is it next to be Speaker nominee?"

Trump lawyer Jenna Ellis has pleaded guilty for conspiring to overturn the 2020 election. That's the fourth plea deal in the Georgia case. Only 15 more to go.

The New York Times presents us with a chart today showing that rich kids are far more likely to get high SAT scores than poor kids: What's the cause of this huge inequality? Children from rich and poor families receive vastly different educations, in and out of school, driven by differences in the amount of ...continue reading "Rich kids get way higher SAT scores than poor kids"

The Border Patrol released its September numbers today, and once again they're up: Border encounters in September were up 19% from last year and up 16% (to 270,000) compared to last month. About 50,000 of these were legal asylum requests while the rest were illegal crossings between ports of entry. Last month CBP said it ...continue reading "Border encounters reach record high in September"

Tyler Cowen has written a new book called GOAT: Who is the Greatest Economist of all Time? It's deliberately written from a fanboy perspective and it's available free here. It's a fun read and I recommend it. GOAT is a regular old book, but it's combined with a GPT engine that allows you to engage ...continue reading "Who is the greatest economist of all time?"

Last Friday was the final moonless night of the month, so I trekked out to Palomar Mountain to try out my new narrowband filter for a second time. I originally planned to photograph the Ghost Nebula, a smallish object with interesting colors. But at the last minute I discovered that narrowband filters don't work on ...continue reading "Lunchtime Photo"

This is a remarkable chart: The title is a little unclear. It refers to the software and computer services indexes tracked by the Datastream database. I've seen plenty of stories about the sad state of Europe's tech sector, but this chart sure brings it home. It might as well not exist for all the impact ...continue reading "Chart of the day: Tech is the sick man of Europe"

What should I call the site originally named Twitter? The people have spoken: I'll keep on calling it Twitter for now. Maybe for another few months. Sorry, Elon.

Apparently the idea that we don't have free will is so scandalous that the LA Times decided it needed an opposing opinion. So they recruited John Martin Fischer, a philosopher at UC Riverside, who says "of course we do." Well. I guess that's that. Argument over. But maybe not quite. I wouldn't bring this up ...continue reading "Like it or not, we must now take another crack at free will"

Jason Furman draws our attention to a new paper that analyzes the effect of the 2017 business tax cut. Long story short, the authors find that cutting taxes increased investment. I'm skeptical of this, and I'll show you why in three charts. First up is a chart from the paper itself showing, as promised, that ...continue reading "Did the 2017 tax cut increase business investment?"

I have been obstinately refusing to call Twitter by its new name, X, but I know that can't go on forever. The question is, How long can it go on? My problem isn't that I hate X, it's that I'm not sure most people know what X is yet. So far, mainstream outlets are still ...continue reading "Take my X/Twitter survey!"

Here's what's happening in London: London police said on Friday they had recorded a 1,353% increase in antisemitic offences this month compared to the same period last year, while Islamophobic offences were up 140% in the wake of the attack by Hamas on Israel. ....Police in the British capital ramped up patrols amid growing tensions, ...continue reading "Antisemitic attacks have skyrocketed over the past two weeks"

This was all over social media last night: Michigan State apologized Saturday night for playing a pregame trivia video that showed an image of Adolf Hitler on the Spartan Stadium scoreboard before its game against Michigan, which the Spartans lost 49-0. The image of Hitler’s face flashed on the screen alongside a trivia question asking ...continue reading "Adolf Hitler was born in Austria"

The US government, the Associated Press, and the Wall Street Journal have all now concluded that the Al-Ahli Arab hospital in Gaza was hit not by an Israeli bomb but by an errant Hamas rocket meant for Israel. It also turns out that the hospital building itself is largely intact and the death toll is ...continue reading "It was a Hamas rocket that exploded at Al-Ahli hospital in Gaza"

Armond White, National Review's culture critic, doesn't like the movie version of Taylor Swift's Eras tour. In fact, he doesn't like Taylor Swift. That's fair enough. She's not everyone's cup of tea, especially if you aren't part of her young-white-women demographic—which White decidedly isn't. But what on earth is this supposed to mean? The Eras ...continue reading "Taylor Swift and post-Obama mind control"

I keep hearing demands for a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war, mainly from the pro-Palestinian left. Generally speaking there's nothing wrong with this. As Churchill said, jaw-jaw is better than war-war. But is there any reason at all to think that Hamas would agree to a ceasefire? I mean, neither would Israel, but the demand ...continue reading "Does Hamas want a ceasefire?"

From New Scientist: A radio wave has hit Earth after travelling through space for 8 billion years. @AlexWilkins22 says it's the oldest fast radio burst ever detected, with enough energy to microwave a bowl of popcorn twice the size of our Sun 🍿☀️ I'm fascinated by the analogies science writers use. You know, the moon ...continue reading "How many H-bombs does it take to pop a sun-sized bowl of popcorn? One? A thousand?"

What with the House in chaos, there hasn't been much action on the "Biden crime family" front these days. But today the House Oversight Committee released BOMBSHELL evidence that Joe Biden received $200,000 from his brother James in 2018. This came ON THE SAME DAY that James Biden received $200,000 from a hospital company he ...continue reading "Biden crime family clown show still screening in a tweet near you"

The New York Times printed excerpts from a focus group of Trump leaners today—though I have to say that the participants mostly struck me as more than just leaning. Maybe they weren't all MAGAnauts, but they were pretty devoted to Trump. In any case, the whole thing is worth reading for the smh value, but ...continue reading "Trump voters and what they believe"