a Better Bubbleโ„ข

Kevin Drum ๐Ÿ•ธ

DeSantis is out

1 year 4 months ago
The Republican primary is now officially a two-person race: Trump vs. Nikki Haley. But Trump is ahead by 15 points in the New Hampshire polls and by 30+ points in South Carolina and Nevada. It's Trump vs. Biden in November, just like it's been all along. Assuming nobody drops dead, of course.
Kevin Drum

Why doesnโ€™t Joe Biden get credit for taming inflation?

1 year 4 months ago
Paul Krugman today: For people who say that Americans care about the level of prices, not the inflation rate, note that cumulative inflation under Biden so far is close to the number under Reagan. Which is why Reagan lost the 84 election in a landslide. Oh, wait pic.twitter.com/KhThKZOZ3A — Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman) January 20, 2024 ...continue reading "Why doesn’t Joe Biden get credit for taming inflation?"
Kevin Drum

Raw data: Illegal immigrant population in border states

1 year 4 months ago
It's a continuing curiosity that, generally speaking, it seems like the greatest fear of illegal immigration comes from states that are nowhere near the southern border. It turns out that Pew Research has state-by-state figures, so I went ahead and plotted it: The four border states are California, Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas. Their population ...continue reading "Raw data: Illegal immigrant population in border states"
Kevin Drum

No, problems in the Red Sea wonโ€™t reignite inflation

1 year 4 months ago
CNN says today that, yeah, inflation has "slowed sharply," but that could change any day now: The risk that inflation could spike again is growing as disruption to one of the world’s main trade routes persists. ....“I do think that there is a level of complacency in the financial markets in respect of the inflation ...continue reading "No, problems in the Red Sea won’t reignite inflation"
Kevin Drum

Republicans are drooling over hope of Homeland Security impeachment

1 year 4 months ago
What a bunch of fucking idiots: House Republicans wrapped up impeachment hearings against Alejandro N. Mayorkas, the homeland security secretary, on Thursday.... Republicans are moving ahead without evidence that Mr. Mayorkas has committed high crimes or misdemeanors, the constitutional standard for impeachment, effectively seeking to remove him for immigration policies they argue have imperiled the ...continue reading "Republicans are drooling over hope of Homeland Security impeachment"
Kevin Drum

Friday Cat Blogging โ€“ 19 January 2024

1 year 4 months ago
This is an aerial photo of Hilbert relaxing on my stomach while I relax on the recliner. He'll get up eventually, and when I follow suit he'll immediately jump into the chair and spread out. This is a signal that I need to get back to the computer and get to work.
Kevin Drum

Raw data: Sales of electric vehicles

1 year 4 months ago
Here are the latest figures through December 2023: Sales of all cars with rechargeable batteries—including plug-in hybrids—have continued to grow strongly. Sales of pure electric vehicles haven't fallen, but they have flattened out since the middle of last year.
Kevin Drum

Health update

1 year 4 months ago
Nutshell summary: Good news! Long, complicated explanation: Buckle up for this one. No doctors were involved in this analysis. As you know, for years I've been getting M-protein results to check the level of multiple myeloma in my bone marrow. This is done via an SPEP test—Serum Protein Electrophoresis. A successful treatment of my cancer ...continue reading "Health update"
Kevin Drum

Corporate profits have skyrocketed since the pandemic

1 year 4 months ago
This is just a reminder: It's worth noting that corporate profits spiked in mid-2020 and finished their rise by early 2021. It's not obvious from the chart, but this is before inflation—either in consumer prices or producer inputs—had risen more than barely. Since the start of the pandemic, inflation has gone up about 20 points ...continue reading "Corporate profits have skyrocketed since the pandemic"
Kevin Drum

Consumer sentiment is starting to get pretty frisky

1 year 4 months ago
Today brings some surprisingly good news about the economy—or at least about people's views of it. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey took its second big jump upward this month after a big jump in December: According to the Wall Street Journal, this is the biggest two-month spike since 1991. Consumer sentiment still isn't ...continue reading "Consumer sentiment is starting to get pretty frisky"
Kevin Drum